Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg. The referee is Lars Erbst.
What's at stake. 1 FC Nuremberg are 2nd on 16 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Hertha BSC, 3 points clear of 1. FC Heidenheim. A win would take them above Hertha BSC. Wolfsburg are 4th on 11 points after 6 games, 2 points behind 1. FC Heidenheim, level on points with 1. FC Kaiserslautern. A win would take them above 1. FC Heidenheim.
Form. 1 FC Nuremberg have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. Wolfsburg have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D.
The numbers. 1 FC Nuremberg score 2.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. 1 FC Nuremberg average 13.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Wolfsburg score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Wolfsburg average 16.5 shots (7.5 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings 1 FC Nuremberg have won two, drawn two and lost five. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Wolfsburg won three. The last time they met, on 4 May 2019, it finished 1 FC Nuremberg 0-2 Wolfsburg: 1 FC Nuremberg had 12 shots to 9, 46% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. 1 FC Nuremberg are the form side, but the meetings favour Wolfsburg: in the last nine meetings, 1 FC Nuremberg won two, Wolfsburg won five and two were drawn.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 78% on the records (1 FC Nuremberg: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Wolfsburg: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: 1 FC Nuremberg or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Wolfsburg or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: 1 FC Nuremberg 2-2 Wolfsburg (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).