SS Arezzo vs US Cremonese

Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Città di Arezzo. The referee is Andrea Zanotti.

What's at stake. SS Arezzo are 12th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Pisa, level on points with Empoli. A win would take them above Pisa. US Cremonese are 15th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Virtus Entella, level on points with Vicenza Virtus. A win would take them above Virtus Entella.

Form. SS Arezzo have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. US Cremonese have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.

The numbers. SS Arezzo score two and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SS Arezzo average 9.7 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. US Cremonese score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Cremonese average 10.4 shots (4.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. US Cremonese have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 30 Sep 2020, it finished SS Arezzo 0-4 US Cremonese.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. SS Arezzo's record still gives them 34% to win.

The read. US Cremonese to win. US Cremonese are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Cremonese; the meetings favour US Cremonese.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Cremonese Over 0.5 goals (US Cremonese's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: SS Arezzo 0-1 US Cremonese (10% chance).