Portmore United vs Waterhouse FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Portmore United are 7th on 4 points after 2 games, 3 points behind Cavalier, level on points with Arnett Gardens. A win would take them level on points with Cavalier. Waterhouse FC are 2nd on 9 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Montego Bay United, level on points with Racing United. A win would take them above Montego Bay United.
Form. Portmore United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition Portmore United have gone D W L W D W. Waterhouse FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. Portmore United score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Portmore United average 3.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Waterhouse FC score three and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Waterhouse FC average 10.6 shots (4.4 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Portmore United have won two, drawn five and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Portmore United won two and Waterhouse FC won two. The last time they met, on 26 Mar 2026, it finished Portmore United 2-1 Waterhouse FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Portmore United's record still gives them 36% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. Waterhouse FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Waterhouse FC the likelier winners; Waterhouse FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Portmore United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Portmore United 0-1 Waterhouse FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).