BFBOT

01:00Tue 13 Oct

CEA

Botafogo FC SP vs Ceara SC CE

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto. The referee is Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro.

Form. Botafogo FC SP have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. Ceara SC CE have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.

The numbers. Botafogo FC SP score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Botafogo FC SP average 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Ceara SC CE score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ceara SC CE average 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The case against. Botafogo FC SP's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Ceara SC CE to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Ceara SC CE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ceara SC CE. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Botafogo FC SP Under 1.5 goals (Ceara SC CE's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Botafogo FC SP 0-1 Ceara SC CE (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Ceara SC CE win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.54

BOT 4 of 6 (67%) · CEA 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%

Ceara SC CE: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Botafogo FC SP: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · Ceara SC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC SP's level · Botafogo FC SP: only games against sides at Ceara SC CE's level

BOTAFOGO FC SP GOALS

Botafogo FC SP Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

BOT 5 of 6 (83%) · CEA 5 of 6 (83%)59.5%

Botafogo FC SP scored in 5 of 6 at home · Ceara SC CE conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Botafogo FC SP: only games against sides at Ceara SC CE's level · Ceara SC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC SP's level

CEARA SC CE GOALS

Ceara SC CE Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.56

BOT 4 of 6 (67%) · CEA 5 of 6 (83%)74.3%

Ceara SC CE scored in 4 of 6 away · Botafogo FC SP conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · Ceara SC CE: only games against sides at Botafogo FC SP's level · Botafogo FC SP: only games against sides at Ceara SC CE's level

Left off the list: Botafogo FC SP Under 1.5 goals (Ceara SC CE's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 10.1%

Botafogo FC SP goals →

Ceara SC CE goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BOTAFOGO FC SPWLWDLLLLLD0.80 PPG

CEARA SC CEWWDWDLWLWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BOTAFOGO FC SP HOMExCEARA SC CE AWAY

1.12SCORED A GAME1.091.19CONCEDED A GAME1.2210%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.25CORNERS A GAME5.692.38CARDS A GAME2.25

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME1.42+0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.00.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES12

Ceara SC CE: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

BOTAFOGO FC SP OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

CEARA SC CE OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BOTAFOGO FC SPxCEARA SC CE

7GAMES81.71SCORED A GAME1.121.57CONCEDED A GAME1.623.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.886%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS38%86%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Botafogo FC SP have scored in 70% of their games.

Ceara SC CE have scored in 80% of their games.

Botafogo FC SP kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Ceara SC CE kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards