Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt.
What's at stake. Puerto Montt are 11th on 34 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Deportes Temuco, 3 points clear of Deportes Iquique. A win would take them above Deportes Temuco. San Luis de Quillota are 2nd on 47 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Cobreloa, 1 point clear of Magallanes. A win would take them above Cobreloa. Puerto Montt have nothing left to play for, while San Luis de Quillota need the win.
Form. Puerto Montt have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Puerto Montt have gone L L L W L L. San Luis de Quillota have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition San Luis de Quillota have gone W W W W W L.
The numbers. Puerto Montt score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. San Luis de Quillota score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Puerto Montt have won four, drawn two and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Puerto Montt won one, one was drawn and San Luis de Quillota won two. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Puerto Montt 1-4 San Luis de Quillota.
The read. San Luis de Quillota to win. A tight game. San Luis de Quillota are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour San Luis de Quillota; the meetings favour San Luis de Quillota. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (San Luis de Quillota are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (San Luis de Quillota are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Puerto Montt 0-1 San Luis de Quillota (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).