Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Foolad Arena, Ahvaz.
What's at stake. Foolad Khuzestan FC are 7th on 9 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Gol Gohar, 1 point clear of Paykan. A win would take them above Gol Gohar. Mes Shahr-e Babak are 17th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with Shams Azar Qazvin, 1 point clear of Sanat Naft. A win would take them above Shams Azar Qazvin.
Form. Foolad Khuzestan FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Mes Shahr-e Babak have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D D.
The numbers. Foolad Khuzestan FC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Foolad Khuzestan FC average 1.0 shots (0.8 on target), 0.6 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Mes Shahr-e Babak score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Mes Shahr-e Babak average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 15 Sep 2018, it finished Foolad Khuzestan FC 2-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak.
The read. Foolad Khuzestan FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Foolad Khuzestan FC the likelier winners; Foolad Khuzestan FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. Best bet: Foolad Khuzestan FC or Draw at 1.16, 76% on the records (Foolad Khuzestan FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Mes Shahr-e Babak failed to win 7 of 7). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Foolad Khuzestan FC or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Foolad Khuzestan FC 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).