Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 39. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Adrogue.
What's at stake. CA Brown de Adrogue are 20th on 39 points after 38 games, 2 points behind Defensores Unidos, 4 points clear of UAI Urquiza. A win would take them above Defensores Unidos. CS Dock Sud are 12th on 47 points after 38 games, 3 points behind San Martín Burzaco, level on points with Villa San Carlos. A win would take them level on points with San Martín Burzaco.
Form. CA Brown de Adrogue have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. In this competition CA Brown de Adrogue have gone D W D L D D. CS Dock Sud have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. In this competition CS Dock Sud have gone L W D L L W.
The numbers. CA Brown de Adrogue score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Brown de Adrogue average 4.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CS Dock Sud score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CS Dock Sud average 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings CA Brown de Adrogue have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished CA Brown de Adrogue 1-0 CS Dock Sud.
The case against. CS Dock Sud's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CA Brown de Adrogue or the draw. A tight game. The meetings favour CA Brown de Adrogue. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 77% on the records (CA Brown de Adrogue: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CS Dock Sud: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Brown de Adrogue 1-1 CS Dock Sud (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).