Argentino de Merlo vs CS Italiano
Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 39. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo.
What's at stake. Argentino de Merlo are 15th on 44 points after 38 games, 1 point behind Deportivo Merlo, level on points with Argentino Quilmes. A win would take them above Deportivo Merlo. CS Italiano are 4th on 65 points after 38 games, 3 points behind Talleres Remedios, level on points with Villa Dalmine. A win would take them level on points with Talleres Remedios.
Form. Argentino de Merlo have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Argentino de Merlo have gone L L W L L D. CS Italiano have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition CS Italiano have gone W W D L W W.
The numbers. Argentino de Merlo score 0.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Argentino de Merlo average 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CS Italiano score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Italiano average 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Argentino de Merlo have won two, drawn four and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Argentino de Merlo won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished Argentino de Merlo 2-0 CS Italiano.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 77% on the records (Argentino de Merlo: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CS Italiano: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CS Italiano Over 0.5 Goals at 1.31. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CS Italiano or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CS Italiano or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or CS Italiano (no result call). Predicted score: Argentino de Merlo 1-1 CS Italiano (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).