Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 39. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Carlos V, Jauregui.
What's at stake. CSD Flandria are 20th on 39 points after 38 games, level on points with Brown DE Adrogue, 4 points clear of UAI Urquiza. A win would take them above Brown DE Adrogue. CA Defensores Unidos are 18th on 41 points after 38 games, 2 points behind Liniers, 2 points clear of Brown DE Adrogue. A win would take them above Liniers.
Form. CSD Flandria have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition CSD Flandria have gone D L L W L W. CA Defensores Unidos have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. CSD Flandria score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CSD Flandria average 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. CA Defensores Unidos score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Defensores Unidos average 4.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (CSD Flandria: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Defensores Unidos: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: CA Defensores Unidos or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Defensores Unidos or Draw (1UP) (no result call); CA Defensores Unidos Over 0.5 goals (CA Defensores Unidos's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CSD Flandria 1-1 CA Defensores Unidos (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).