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ARGENTINA - PRIMERA B
CSCD Laferrere crestCLCSC
19:00Sat 10 Oct
DEPDeportivo Merlo crestDM

CSCD Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 39. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium, Buenos Aires.

What's at stake. CSCD Laferrere are 10th on 51 points after 38 games, 4 points behind Comunicaciones, 1 point clear of San Martín Burzaco. Deportivo Merlo are 15th on 44 points after 38 games, level on points with Argentino de Merlo, 1 point clear of Argentino Quilmes. A win would take them above Argentino de Merlo.

Form. CSCD Laferrere have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition CSCD Laferrere have gone W L L D D D. Deportivo Merlo have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. In this competition Deportivo Merlo have gone D L W L D L.

The numbers. CSCD Laferrere score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CSCD Laferrere average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Deportivo Merlo score none and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Deportivo Merlo average 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CSCD Laferrere have won four, drawn four and lost one. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, three were drawn and Deportivo Merlo won one. The last time they met, on 2 Jun 2026, it finished CSCD Laferrere 1-2 Deportivo Merlo.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 28%.

The read. No firm call: CSCD Laferrere are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSCD Laferrere the likelier winners; CSCD Laferrere are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CSCD Laferrere or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSCD Laferrere 1-1 Deportivo Merlo (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CSCD Laferrere or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.12
CSC 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
CSCD Laferrere scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Merlo trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
CSCD Laferrere or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.22
CSC 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)74.6%
CSCD Laferrere: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Merlo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · CSCD Laferrere: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at CSCD Laferrere's level
Double Chance: CSCD Laferrere or DrawIN CODES
1.15
CSC 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)74.4%
CSCD Laferrere unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Merlo failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · CSCD Laferrere: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at CSCD Laferrere's level
CSCD Laferrere 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
CSC 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)60%
CSCD Laferrere scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Merlo trailed in 3 of 5 away
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CSC 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%
CSCD Laferrere: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Merlo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · CSCD Laferrere: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at CSCD Laferrere's level
CSCD LAFERRERE GOALS
CSCD Laferrere Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.22
CSC 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)76.5%
CSCD Laferrere scored in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Merlo conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · CSCD Laferrere: only games against sides at Deportivo Merlo's level · Deportivo Merlo: only games against sides at CSCD Laferrere's level
Left off the list: CSCD Laferrere or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
CSCD Laferrere goals →
Deportivo Merlo goals ↓
0-09%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CSCD LAFERREREDLLWDDDLLW1.00 PPG
DEPORTIVO MERLOLDDLLDLWLD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CSCD LAFERRERE HOMExDEPORTIVO MERLO AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME0.301.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS40%26%FAILED TO SCORE39%4.84CORNERS A GAME3.942.00CARDS A GAME2.72
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME1.00+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CSCD LAFERRERE OR DRAW
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
DEPORTIVO MERLO OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CSCD LAFERRERExDEPORTIVO MERLO
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–13.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CSCD LAFERRERE 4 · 44%DRAW 4DEPORTIVO MERLO 1 · 11%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-02-23CSCD Laferrere 3 – 2 Deportivo Merlo
2019-05-26CSCD Laferrere 3 – 1 Deportivo Merlo
2019-10-15CSCD Laferrere 1 – 0 Deportivo Merlo
2021-01-13CSCD Laferrere 1 – 1 Deportivo Merlo
2024-05-19CSCD Laferrere 1 – 0 Deportivo Merlo
2024-10-06CSCD Laferrere 0 – 0 Deportivo Merlo
2025-02-23CSCD Laferrere 1 – 1 Deportivo Merlo
2025-07-12CSCD Laferrere 2 – 2 Deportivo Merlo
TRENDS
CSCD Laferrere have scored in 90% of their games.
Deportivo Merlo have scored in 20% of their games.
CSCD Laferrere kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Deportivo Merlo kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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