Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 39. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. CSCD Laferrere are 10th on 51 points after 38 games, 4 points behind Comunicaciones, 1 point clear of San Martín Burzaco. Deportivo Merlo are 15th on 44 points after 38 games, level on points with Argentino de Merlo, 1 point clear of Argentino Quilmes. A win would take them above Argentino de Merlo.
Form. CSCD Laferrere have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition CSCD Laferrere have gone W L L D D D. Deportivo Merlo have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. In this competition Deportivo Merlo have gone D L W L D L.
The numbers. CSCD Laferrere score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CSCD Laferrere average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Deportivo Merlo score none and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Deportivo Merlo average 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CSCD Laferrere have won four, drawn four and lost one. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, three were drawn and Deportivo Merlo won one. The last time they met, on 2 Jun 2026, it finished CSCD Laferrere 1-2 Deportivo Merlo.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 28%.
The read. No firm call: CSCD Laferrere are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSCD Laferrere the likelier winners; CSCD Laferrere are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CSCD Laferrere or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSCD Laferrere 1-1 Deportivo Merlo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).