DTDEP

21:30Sat 10 Oct

CDS

Deportes Temuco vs CD Santa Cruz

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Deportes Temuco are 11th on 32 points after 26 games, 2 points behind D. Puerto Montt, 1 point clear of Deportes Iquique. A win would take them above D. Puerto Montt. CD Santa Cruz are 14th on 22 points after 26 games, 5 points behind Curico Unido, level on points with Union San Felipe. Deportes Temuco have nothing left to play for. CD Santa Cruz have nothing left to play for.

Form. Deportes Temuco have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. CD Santa Cruz have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.

The numbers. Deportes Temuco score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Deportes Temuco average 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Santa Cruz score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Santa Cruz average 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 54% against the records' 33%.

The read. No firm call: Deportes Temuco are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Deportes Temuco the likelier winners; Deportes Temuco are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Deportes Temuco or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Deportes Temuco or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Santa Cruz Over 0.5 goals (CD Santa Cruz's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Deportes Temuco 1-1 CD Santa Cruz (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Deportes Temuco or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

DEP 4 of 6 (67%) · CDS 7 of 8 (88%)77.6%

Deportes Temuco: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · CD Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level

Deportes Temuco or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.20

DEP 5 of 6 (83%) · CDS 5 of 8 (62%)72.4%

Deportes Temuco: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · CD Santa Cruz: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level

Deportes Temuco (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

DEP 2 of 5 (40%) · CDS 3 of 5 (60%)63.4%

Deportes Temuco won 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · CD Santa Cruz lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 44% · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 5

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 5 of 6 (83%) · CDS 8 of 8 (100%)96%

Deportes Temuco: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · CD Santa Cruz: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

DEP 4 of 6 (67%) · CDS 8 of 8 (100%)89.4%

Deportes Temuco: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · CD Santa Cruz: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level

DEPORTES TEMUCO GOALS

Deportes Temuco Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

DEP 5 of 6 (83%) · CDS 5 of 8 (62%)76.4%

Deportes Temuco scored in 5 of 6 at home · CD Santa Cruz conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level

CD SANTA CRUZ GOALS

CD Santa Cruz Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.42

DEP 7 of 8 (88%) · CDS 4 of 6 (67%)72.3%

CD Santa Cruz scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Deportes Temuco conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 79% · CD Santa Cruz: only games against sides at Deportes Temuco's level · Deportes Temuco: only games against sides at CD Santa Cruz's level

Left off the list: Deportes Temuco or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Deportes Temuco or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Santa Cruz Over 0.5 goals (CD Santa Cruz's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Deportes Temuco goals →

CD Santa Cruz goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

DEPORTES TEMUCOLDWLWLDDLL0.90 PPG

CD SANTA CRUZLLLDWDDLLW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DEPORTES TEMUCO HOMExCD SANTA CRUZ AWAY

1.54SCORED A GAME1.041.38CONCEDED A GAME1.5470%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.63CORNERS A GAME5.252.00CARDS A GAME2.17

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

DEPORTES TEMUCO OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

CD SANTA CRUZ OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Deportes Temuco have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Santa Cruz have scored in 60% of their games.

Deportes Temuco kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

CD Santa Cruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards