CA Excursionistas vs CA Villa San Carlos
Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 39. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. CA Excursionistas are 1st on 74 points after 38 games, 5 points clear of Arsenal Sarandi. CA Villa San Carlos are 13th on 47 points after 38 games, level on points with Dock Sud, 3 points clear of Argentino de Merlo. A win would take them above Dock Sud.
Form. CA Excursionistas have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition CA Excursionistas have gone L W W W W L. CA Villa San Carlos have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. In this competition CA Villa San Carlos have gone W W D D D L.
The numbers. CA Excursionistas score three and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CA Villa San Carlos score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CA Excursionistas have won three, drawn three and lost three. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CA Excursionistas won one, two were drawn and CA Villa San Carlos won one. The last time they met, on 31 May 2026, it finished CA Excursionistas 2-0 CA Villa San Carlos.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: CA Excursionistas are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Excursionistas the likelier winners; CA Excursionistas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Excursionistas. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (CA Excursionistas: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Villa San Carlos: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.34. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Excursionistas 1-1 CA Villa San Carlos (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).