Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Magallanes
Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Deportes Recoleta are 6th on 41 points after 26 games, level on points with Antofagasta, 2 points clear of San Marcos de Arica. A win would take them above Antofagasta. Deportes Magallanes are 4th on 43 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Santiago Wanderers, 2 points clear of Antofagasta. A win would take them above Santiago Wanderers.
Form. Deportes Recoleta have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Deportes Recoleta have gone W D W W D W. Deportes Magallanes have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition Deportes Magallanes have gone W W D D L W.
The numbers. Deportes Recoleta score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Deportes Magallanes score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportes Recoleta have won one, drawn one and lost seven. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Deportes Recoleta won one and Deportes Magallanes won three. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Deportes Recoleta 2-3 Deportes Magallanes.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Deportes Recoleta's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. Deportes Magallanes to win. A tight game. Deportes Magallanes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportes Magallanes; the meetings favour Deportes Magallanes. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Deportes Magallanes or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportes Recoleta 0-1 Deportes Magallanes (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).