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Yate Town vs Berkhamsted FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Yate Town are 14th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Gosport Borough, 1 point clear of Bracknell Town. A win would take them above Gosport Borough. Berkhamsted FC are 11th on 13 points after 10 games, level on points with Evesham United, 1 point clear of Wimborne Town. A win would take them above Evesham United.

Form. Yate Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D D. Berkhamsted FC have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. In this competition Berkhamsted FC have gone L L W D W W.

The numbers. Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Berkhamsted FC score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Berkhamsted FC average 2.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Yate Town have won none, drawn two and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Yate Town 1-1 Berkhamsted FC.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Berkhamsted FC Over 0.5 Goals (Yate Town's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Yate Town 1-1 Berkhamsted FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
YAT 5 of 6 (83%) · BER 5 of 5 (100%)95.7%
Yate Town: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Berkhamsted FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
YAT 4 of 6 (67%) · BER 4 of 5 (80%)91.3%
Yate Town: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Berkhamsted FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
YAT 4 of 6 (67%) · BER 4 of 5 (80%)88.9%
Yate Town: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Berkhamsted FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 74%
Left off the list: Berkhamsted FC Over 0.5 Goals (Yate Town's own games don't back it (3 of 6))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
Yate Town goals →
Berkhamsted FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
YATE TOWNWLLWWDDDLD1.30 PPG
BERKHAMSTED FCLLLWWDWLL1.11 PPG
THE NUMBERS
YATE TOWN HOMExBERKHAMSTED FC AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.001.70CONCEDED A GAME1.5630%CLEAN SHEETS40%11%FAILED TO SCORE20%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.44POINTS A GAME1.30-0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.30–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
YATE TOWN OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
BERKHAMSTED FC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
YATE TOWNxBERKHAMSTED FC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.602.60CONCEDED A GAME0.804.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
YATE TOWN 0 · 0%DRAW 2BERKHAMSTED FC 0 · 0%
2025-10-11Yate Town 0 – 0 Berkhamsted FC
2026-01-31Yate Town 1 – 1 Berkhamsted FC
TRENDS
Yate Town have scored in 70% of their games.
Berkhamsted FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Yate Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Berkhamsted FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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