Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Frome Town are 6th on 15 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Bath City, 1 point clear of Chertsey Town. A win would take them above Bath City. Sholing FC are 16th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Bracknell Town, 1 point clear of Basingstoke Town. A win would take them above Bracknell Town.
Form. Frome Town have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition Frome Town have gone D D L D W W. Sholing FC have won three, drawn one and lost four of their last eight, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Sholing FC have gone W L W L L D.
The numbers. Frome Town score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Sholing FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Frome Town have won three, drawn two and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Sholing FC won three. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2025, it finished Frome Town 0-3 Sholing FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Frome Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Sholing FC: in the last eight meetings, Frome Town won three, Sholing FC won three and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Frome Town or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Frome Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Frome Town or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Frome Town 2-1 Sholing FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).