Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chichester City FC are 9th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Taunton Town, level on points with Evesham United. A win would take them above Taunton Town. Plymouth Parkway are 2nd on 20 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Poole Town, level on points with Uxbridge. A win would take them above Poole Town.
Form. Chichester City FC have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Chichester City FC have gone L D L W W W. Plymouth Parkway have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Plymouth Parkway have gone D W W W W W.
The numbers. Chichester City FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Plymouth Parkway score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 26 Oct 2024, it finished Chichester City FC 4-0 Plymouth Parkway.
The case against. Chichester City FC's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Plymouth Parkway to win. An open game. Plymouth Parkway are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Plymouth Parkway. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Chichester City FC 1-2 Plymouth Parkway (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).