Match details. Pro League. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Tractor Tabriz have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. Esteghlal FC Tehran have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D.
The numbers. Tractor Tabriz score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Tractor Tabriz average 3.5 shots (0.5 on target), 1.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Esteghlal FC Tehran score 1.5 and concede 0.2 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets and two games without a goal. Esteghlal FC Tehran average 3.0 shots (2.3 on target), 0.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 11%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Tractor Tabriz: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; Esteghlal FC Tehran: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Esteghlal FC Tehran or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Esteghlal FC Tehran or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tractor Tabriz 1-1 Esteghlal FC Tehran (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).