Match details. Esiliiga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. JK Tallinna Kalev are 7th on 37 points after 29 games, 4 points behind Maardu, 1 point clear of Nõmme United II. Viimsi JK are 2nd on 50 points after 30 games, 15 points behind Tartu Welco, 2 points clear of Flora II. JK Tallinna Kalev have nothing left to play for. Viimsi JK have nothing left to play for.
Form. JK Tallinna Kalev have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. In this competition JK Tallinna Kalev have gone D L D L L W. Viimsi JK have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Viimsi JK have gone L L W L W W.
The numbers. JK Tallinna Kalev score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. JK Tallinna Kalev average 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Viimsi JK score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Viimsi JK average 6.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings JK Tallinna Kalev have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 3 Aug 2026, it finished JK Tallinna Kalev 2-1 Viimsi JK.
The case against. JK Tallinna Kalev's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Viimsi JK to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Viimsi JK the likelier winners; Viimsi JK are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.32, 70% on the records (JK Tallinna Kalev: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9; Viimsi JK: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: JK Tallinna Kalev 1-2 Viimsi JK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).