Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Imam Khomeini, Arak.
Form. Aluminium Arak have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Malavan Bandar Anzali FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Aluminium Arak score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aluminium Arak average 0.0 cards a game. Malavan Bandar Anzali FC score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Malavan Bandar Anzali FC average 0.5 cards a game.
The read. Aluminium Arak to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Aluminium Arak the likelier winners; Aluminium Arak are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Aluminium Arak or Draw at 1.28, 77% on the records (Aluminium Arak unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Malavan Bandar Anzali FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Aluminium Arak are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Aluminium Arak are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aluminium Arak 1-0 Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).