Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. MC Alger have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. CR Temouchent have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D.
The numbers. MC Alger score 2.5 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. MC Alger average 6.8 shots (3.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. CR Temouchent score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. CR Temouchent average 6.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. CR Temouchent's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. MC Alger to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make MC Alger the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (MC Alger are a clear winner, no Unders); MC Alger Over 0.5 Goals (CR Temouchent's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 2.5 Goals (MC Alger are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: MC Alger 1-0 CR Temouchent (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).