ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER CENTRAL

SFSTO

15:00Sat 10 Oct

LEI

Stourbridge FC vs Leighton Town

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Stourbridge FC are 15th on 10 points after 9 games, level on points with Bishop's Stortford, 1 point clear of Leamington. A win would take them above Bishop's Stortford. Leighton Town are 21st on 5 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Stratford Town, 5 points clear of Stamford. A win would take them above Stratford Town.

Form. Stourbridge FC have won two, drawn four and lost three of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition Stourbridge FC have gone L D L D L D. Leighton Town have won one, drawn two and lost six of their last nine, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Leighton Town have gone L L L L L L.

The numbers. Stourbridge FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Stourbridge FC average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Leighton Town score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.

The case against. Leighton Town's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. Stourbridge FC to win. A tight game. Stourbridge FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stourbridge FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Stourbridge FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Stourbridge FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Stourbridge FC 1-0 Leighton Town (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Stourbridge FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STO 3 of 5 (60%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)81.1%

Stourbridge FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Leighton Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

Stourbridge FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

STO 3 of 5 (60%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)81.1%

Double Chance: Stourbridge FC or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.23

STO 2 of 5 (40%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)70%

Stourbridge FC unbeaten in 2 of 5 at home · Leighton Town failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

Stourbridge FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

STO 2 of 5 (40%) · LEI 6 of 7 (86%)64%

Stourbridge FC won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Leighton Town lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 63% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3

Stourbridge FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.82

STO 1 of 5 (20%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)50.1%

Stourbridge FC won 1 of 5 at home · Leighton Town lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 44% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STO 5 of 5 (100%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)94.7%

Stourbridge FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leighton Town: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STO 4 of 5 (80%) · LEI 3 of 5 (60%)86.9%

Stourbridge FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Leighton Town: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

STO 2 of 5 (40%) · LEI 3 of 5 (60%)54.2%

Stourbridge FC: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Leighton Town: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 67% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

STOURBRIDGE FC GOALS

Stourbridge FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STO 3 of 5 (60%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)77%

Stourbridge FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Leighton Town conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level

LEIGHTON TOWN GOALS

Leighton Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

STO 3 of 5 (60%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)69.5%

Leighton Town scored in 3 of 5 away · Stourbridge FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Leighton Town: only games against sides at Stourbridge FC's level · Stourbridge FC: only games against sides at Leighton Town's level

Left off the list: Stourbridge FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Stourbridge FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (74%) and the records (96%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.6%

Stourbridge FC goals →

Leighton Town goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9

STOURBRIDGE FCWWDDLDLDL1.11 PPG

LEIGHTON TOWNDDWLLLLLL0.56 PPG

THE NUMBERS

STOURBRIDGE FC HOMExLEIGHTON TOWN AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.331.33CONCEDED A GAME2.2222%CLEAN SHEETS0%33%FAILED TO SCORE22%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.11POINTS A GAME0.78-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.49LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

33%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

STOURBRIDGE FC OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

LEIGHTON TOWN OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

STOURBRIDGE FCxLEIGHTON TOWN

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Stourbridge FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Leighton Town have scored in 80% of their games.

Stourbridge FC failed to score in 33% of their games.

Leighton Town failed to score in 22% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards