ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER CENTRAL

RWRCW

15:00Sat 10 Oct

LEI

RC Warwick vs Leiston FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. RC Warwick are 13th on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with Redditch United, level on points with Bishop's Stortford. A win would take them above Redditch United. Leiston FC are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Halesowen Town, 1 point clear of Redditch United. A win would take them above Halesowen Town.

Form. RC Warwick have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D. In this competition RC Warwick have gone W D L L D L. Leiston FC have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Leiston FC have gone L L W L W D.

The numbers. RC Warwick score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leiston FC score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 50%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Leiston FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Double Chance: Draw or Leiston FC (no result call). Predicted score: RC Warwick 2-1 Leiston FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RCW 4 of 5 (80%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)92.6%

RC Warwick: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Leiston FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · RC Warwick: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at RC Warwick's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

RCW 4 of 5 (80%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)75.6%

RC Warwick: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Leiston FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · RC Warwick: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at RC Warwick's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

RCW 2 of 5 (40%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)50.4%

RC Warwick: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Leiston FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · RC Warwick: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at RC Warwick's level

RC WARWICK GOALS

RC Warwick Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RCW 4 of 5 (80%) · LEI 5 of 5 (100%)76.4%

RC Warwick scored in 4 of 5 at home · Leiston FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · RC Warwick: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at RC Warwick's level

LEISTON FC GOALS

Leiston FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RCW 5 of 5 (100%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)71.2%

Leiston FC scored in 5 of 5 away · RC Warwick conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · Leiston FC: only games against sides at RC Warwick's level · RC Warwick: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RCW 4 of 5 (80%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)81.5%

RC Warwick: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Leiston FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores · RC Warwick: only games against sides at Leiston FC's level · Leiston FC: only games against sides at RC Warwick's level

Left off the list: Leiston FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Draw or Leiston FC (no result call); Leiston FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.8%

RC Warwick goals →

Leiston FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

RC WARWICKDLWDLDLLDW1.00 PPG

LEISTON FCDWLDWLWLL1.22 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RC WARWICK HOMExLEISTON FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.891.40CONCEDED A GAME1.8920%CLEAN SHEETS0%20%FAILED TO SCORE11%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.83POINTS A GAME1.22-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

RC WARWICK OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

LEISTON FC OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

RC WARWICKxLEISTON FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME2.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Leiston FC have scored in 70% of their games.

RC Warwick failed to score in 20% of their games.

Leiston FC failed to score in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table