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Alvechurch vs Bury Town FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Alvechurch are 4th on 20 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Bromsgrove Sporting, 2 points clear of Kettering Town. A win would take them above Bromsgrove Sporting. Bury Town FC are 2nd on 24 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Real Bedford, 2 points clear of Bromsgrove Sporting. A win would take them level on points with Real Bedford.

Form. Alvechurch have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Alvechurch have gone D D W W W W. Bury Town FC have won eight, drawn none and lost one of their last nine, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Bury Town FC have gone W W L W W W.

The numbers. Alvechurch score 2.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Bury Town FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Alvechurch have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Alvechurch 1-3 Bury Town FC.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Alvechurch 1-1 Bury Town FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 5 of 5 (100%)94.7%
Alvechurch: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 5 of 5 (100%)92.3%
Alvechurch: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 4 of 5 (80%)86.9%
Alvechurch: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
ALV 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 3 of 5 (60%)74.9%
Alvechurch: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALV 3 of 5 (60%) · BUR 3 of 5 (60%)64.1%
Alvechurch: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Alvechurch: only games against sides at Bury Town FC's level · Bury Town FC: only games against sides at Alvechurch's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.9%
Alvechurch goals →
Bury Town FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 9
ALVECHURCHLWWWWWWDD2.22 PPG
BURY TOWN FCWWWWWWLWW2.67 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALVECHURCH HOMExBURY TOWN FC AWAY
1.89SCORED A GAME2.000.44CONCEDED A GAME0.8967%CLEAN SHEETS44%22%FAILED TO SCORE11%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.22POINTS A GAME2.44+1.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ALVECHURCH OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
BURY TOWN FC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALVECHURCHxBURY TOWN FC
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.600.20CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
ALVECHURCH 1 · 50%DRAW 0BURY TOWN FC 1 · 50%
2025-09-20Alvechurch 1 – 0 Bury Town FC
2026-01-24Alvechurch 1 – 3 Bury Town FC
TRENDS
Alvechurch have scored in 90% of their games.
Bury Town FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Alvechurch failed to score in 22% of their games.
Bury Town FC failed to score in 11% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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