Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Leatherhead FC are 10th on 15 points after 10 games, level on points with Chatham Town, 1 point clear of St Albans City. A win would take them above Chatham Town. Cheshunt FC are 14th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Cray Wanderers, level on points with Wingate & Finchley. A win would take them above Cray Wanderers.
Form. Leatherhead FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. In this competition Leatherhead FC have gone L D D W L W. Cheshunt FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Cheshunt FC have gone W W L L D D.
The numbers. Leatherhead FC score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Leatherhead FC average 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Cheshunt FC score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Cheshunt FC average 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Leatherhead FC have won two, drawn none and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 5 Feb 2022, it finished Leatherhead FC 0-1 Cheshunt FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Cheshunt FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Leatherhead FC to win. Leatherhead FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leatherhead FC.
The bets. Best bet: Leatherhead FC or Draw at 1.23, 71% on the records (Leatherhead FC unbeaten in 7 of 10; Cheshunt FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17 (75%). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Leatherhead FC 1-0 Cheshunt FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).