Leek Town FC vs Ashton United FC
Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Leek Town FC are 17th on 10 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Stockton Town, level on points with Quorn. A win would take them above Stockton Town. Ashton United FC are 14th on 12 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Hyde United, level on points with Whitby Town. A win would take them above Hyde United.
Form. Leek Town FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. In this competition Leek Town FC have gone D W L L L D. Ashton United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition Ashton United FC have gone D L L L D D.
The numbers. Leek Town FC score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Ashton United FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Leek Town FC have won three, drawn none and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Leek Town FC 1-0 Ashton United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Ashton United FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Leek Town FC: in the last four meetings, Leek Town FC won three and Ashton United FC won one. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Leek Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ashton United FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ashton United FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Leek Town FC 1-1 Ashton United FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).