Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ilkeston Town FC are 21st on 7 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Bamber Bridge, 2 points clear of United of Manchester. A win would take them above Bamber Bridge. Redcar Athletic FC are 3rd on 25 points after 12 games, level on points with Avro, 3 points clear of Guiseley AFC. A win would take them above Avro.
Form. Ilkeston Town FC have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Ilkeston Town FC have gone L L L L L L. Redcar Athletic FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Redcar Athletic FC have gone L W D W W W.
The numbers. Ilkeston Town FC score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Redcar Athletic FC score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. Redcar Athletic FC to win. Redcar Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Redcar Athletic FC.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Redcar Athletic FC at 1.15, 71% on the records (Redcar Athletic FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Ilkeston Town FC failed to win 5 of 5 at home). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Ilkeston Town FC 0-1 Redcar Athletic FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).