Alfreton Town FC vs Bury FC
Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Alfreton Town FC are 8th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Curzon Ashton, level on points with Warrington Town. A win would take them above Curzon Ashton. Bury FC are 10th on 16 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Warrington Town, level on points with Gainsborough Trinity. A win would take them above Warrington Town.
Form. Alfreton Town FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Alfreton Town FC have gone W L W L W L. Bury FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Bury FC have gone L W L W L W.
The numbers. Alfreton Town FC score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Bury FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Bury FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Alfreton Town FC.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Alfreton Town FC 1-1 Bury FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).