Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 2. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna.
What's at stake. Bentin Tacna Heroica are 1st on 29 points after 16 games, 3 points clear of Comerciantes. Carlos Mannucci are 2nd on 30 points after 16 games, 2 points behind Union Comercio, 2 points clear of Deportivo Llacuabamba. A win would take them above Union Comercio. Carlos Mannucci have nothing left to play for.
Form. Bentin Tacna Heroica have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition Bentin Tacna Heroica have gone D D W L W D. Carlos Mannucci have won six, drawn one and lost two of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Carlos Mannucci have gone W W W D L W.
The numbers. Bentin Tacna Heroica score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bentin Tacna Heroica average 12.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Carlos Mannucci score 1.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Carlos Mannucci average 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Bentin Tacna Heroica have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 8 Sep 2025, it finished Bentin Tacna Heroica 3-3 Carlos Mannucci.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Carlos Mannucci are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Bentin Tacna Heroica.
The case against. Bentin Tacna Heroica's record still gives them 54% to win.
The read. Carlos Mannucci or the draw. A tight game. Carlos Mannucci are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bentin Tacna Heroica. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Carlos Mannucci or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Carlos Mannucci or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bentin Tacna Heroica 1-1 Carlos Mannucci (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).