DJDEJ

21:00Wed 7 Oct

CDE

22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie B, Relegation Group - 7. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is played over two legs.

Form. 22 de Julio have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. CD El Nacional have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. 22 de Julio score 0.4 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. 22 de Julio average 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD El Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD El Nacional average 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.

The case against. 22 de Julio's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. CD El Nacional to win. CD El Nacional are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD El Nacional.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD El Nacional or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); CD El Nacional Over 0.5 Goals (CD El Nacional's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: 22 de Julio 0-1 CD El Nacional (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD El Nacional or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEJ 5 of 6 (83%) · CDE 6 of 6 (100%)86.5%

CD El Nacional: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · 22 de Julio: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level

CD El Nacional or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEJ 3 of 6 (50%) · CDE 5 of 6 (83%)70.9%

CD El Nacional: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · 22 de Julio: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEJ 4 of 6 (67%) · CDE 6 of 6 (100%)95.4%

22 de Julio: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD El Nacional: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEJ 4 of 6 (67%) · CDE 5 of 6 (83%)88.5%

22 de Julio: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD El Nacional: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEJ 6 of 6 (100%) · CDE 6 of 6 (100%)87.1%

22 de Julio: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD El Nacional: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · 22 de Julio: only games against sides at CD El Nacional's level · CD El Nacional: only games against sides at 22 de Julio's level

Left off the list: CD El Nacional or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (83%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); CD El Nacional Over 0.5 Goals (CD El Nacional's own games don't back it (2 of 6))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8%

22 de Julio goals →

CD El Nacional goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

22 DE JULIOLDLLLLLLLL0.10 PPG

CD EL NACIONALLLLWLLDLWW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

22 DE JULIO HOMExCD EL NACIONAL AWAY

0.54SCORED A GAME0.711.89CONCEDED A GAME1.5740%BOTH SCORED30%0%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.40CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME2.24

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.36POINTS A GAME0.73-2.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.64–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES11

CD El Nacional: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

22 DE JULIO OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

CD EL NACIONAL OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

22 DE JULIOxCD EL NACIONAL

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.003.60CONCEDED A GAME2.204.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

22 de Julio have scored in 40% of their games.

CD El Nacional have scored in 50% of their games.

22 de Julio kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

CD El Nacional kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards