Match details. National League South, National League South - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium, Horsham.
What's at stake. Horsham FC are 17th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Chelmsford City, level on points with Farnborough. A win would take them above Chelmsford City. Maidstone United FC are 1st on 19 points after 10 games, level on points with Dagenham & Redbridge.
Form. Horsham FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Maidstone United FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W.
The numbers. Horsham FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Maidstone United FC score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Maidstone United FC average 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Horsham FC have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Horsham FC 0-0 Maidstone United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Horsham FC's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Maidstone United FC to win. A tight game. Maidstone United FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Maidstone United FC at 1.32, 63% on the records (Maidstone United FC unbeaten in 6 of 8; Horsham FC failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Full cover: Horsham FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.33. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Maidstone United FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Maidstone United FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Maidstone United FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Maidstone United FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Horsham FC 0-1 Maidstone United FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).