Match details. National League South, National League South - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium, Braintree.
What's at stake. Braintree Town FC are 21st on 10 points after 10 games, level on points with AFC Totton, 2 points clear of Hampton & Richmond. A win would take them above AFC Totton. Truro City are 4th on 18 points after 10 games, level on points with Salisbury, level on points with Billericay Town. A win would take them above Salisbury.
Form. Braintree Town FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. Truro City have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.
The numbers. Braintree Town FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Braintree Town FC average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Truro City score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Truro City average 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. Braintree Town FC have won all of the last four meetings. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Braintree Town FC 3-2 Truro City.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Truro City are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Braintree Town FC.
The case against. Braintree Town FC's record still gives them 43% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Truro City to win. An open game. Truro City are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Braintree Town FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (Braintree Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6; Truro City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Truro City are a clear winner, no Unders); Braintree Town FC Under 1.5 goals (Braintree Town FC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Truro City are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Braintree Town FC 1-2 Truro City (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).