Hebburn Town vs Oxford City
Hebburn Town scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford City conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Hebburn Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level · Oxford City: only games against sides at Hebburn Town's level
Match details. National League North, National League North - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hebburn Town are 5th on 18 points after 10 games, 2 points behind South Shields, 1 point clear of Spalding United. A win would take them above South Shields. Oxford City are 3rd on 20 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Macclesfield, level on points with South Shields. A win would take them above Macclesfield.
Form. Hebburn Town have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. Oxford City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. Hebburn Town score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hebburn Town average 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Oxford City score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Oxford City average 5.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Hebburn Town's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Oxford City or the draw. An open game. Oxford City are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 75% on the records (Hebburn Town: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Oxford City: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Oxford City win or both teams score at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Oxford City or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hebburn Town 1-2 Oxford City (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).