HTHAR

15:00Sat 10 Oct

SOU

Harborough Town FC vs Southport FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. National League North, National League North - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Harborough Town FC are 17th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Marine, level on points with Worksop Town. A win would take them above Marine. Southport FC are 20th on 9 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Brackley Town, level on points with AFC Telford United. A win would take them level on points with Brackley Town.

Form. Harborough Town FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. Southport FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.

The numbers. Harborough Town FC score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Harborough Town FC average 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Southport FC score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Southport FC average 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The case against. Southport FC's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. Harborough Town FC to win. Harborough Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Harborough Town FC Over 0.5 goals (Harborough Town FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Harborough Town FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Harborough Town FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Harborough Town FC 1-0 Southport FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Harborough Town FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.12

HAR 4 of 8 (50%) · SOU 9 of 9 (100%)81.2%

Harborough Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southport FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Harborough Town FC: only games against sides at Southport FC's level · Southport FC: only games against sides at Harborough Town FC's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

HAR 5 of 8 (62%) · SOU 8 of 9 (89%)73.4%

Harborough Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southport FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Harborough Town FC: only games against sides at Southport FC's level · Southport FC: only games against sides at Harborough Town FC's level

SOUTHPORT FC GOALS

Southport FC Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

HAR 5 of 9 (56%) · SOU 5 of 8 (62%)70.8%

Southport FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Harborough Town FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · Southport FC: only games against sides at Harborough Town FC's level · Harborough Town FC: only games against sides at Southport FC's level

Southport FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

HAR 6 of 9 (67%) · SOU 7 of 8 (88%)56.7%

Southport FC scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Harborough Town FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Southport FC: only games against sides at Harborough Town FC's level · Harborough Town FC: only games against sides at Southport FC's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.18

HAR 5 of 8 (62%) · SOU 9 of 9 (100%)81.3%

Harborough Town FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southport FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Harborough Town FC: only games against sides at Southport FC's level · Southport FC: only games against sides at Harborough Town FC's level

Left off the list: Harborough Town FC Over 0.5 goals (Harborough Town FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Harborough Town FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Harborough Town FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.5%

Harborough Town FC goals →

Southport FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

HARBOROUGH TOWN FCWLWDLLWLWD1.40 PPG

SOUTHPORT FCDLLWLLLWDD0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HARBOROUGH TOWN FC HOMExSOUTHPORT FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME2.0020%CLEAN SHEETS0%40%FAILED TO SCORE30%5.67CORNERS A GAME5.141.67CARDS A GAME2.14

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.22POINTS A GAME0.90-0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.70–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.50.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

HARBOROUGH TOWN FC OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SOUTHPORT FC OR DRAW

28%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HARBOROUGH TOWN FCxSOUTHPORT FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME2.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Harborough Town FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Southport FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Harborough Town FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Southport FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards