DFDAR

15:00Sat 10 Oct

MER

Darlington FC vs Merthyr Town

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. National League North, National League North - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Blackwell Meadows, Darlington.

What's at stake. Darlington FC are 22nd on 7 points after 10 games, 2 points behind AFC Telford United, level on points with Spennymoor Town. A win would take them above AFC Telford United. Merthyr Town are 13th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Chorley, 1 point clear of Scarborough Athletic. A win would take them above Chorley.

Form. Darlington FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Merthyr Town have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.

The numbers. Darlington FC score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Darlington FC average 4.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Merthyr Town score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Merthyr Town average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Darlington FC have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Darlington FC 3-1 Merthyr Town.

The read. Merthyr Town to win. Merthyr Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Merthyr Town.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Darlington FC 0-1 Merthyr Town (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Merthyr Town win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.18

DAR 7 of 8 (88%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)84.4%

Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

DAR 6 of 8 (75%) · MER 8 of 8 (100%)96.3%

Darlington FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

DAR 6 of 8 (75%) · MER 8 of 8 (100%)90.8%

Darlington FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DAR 8 of 8 (100%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)87.7%

Darlington FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

DAR 6 of 8 (75%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)67.8%

Darlington FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level

DARLINGTON FC GOALS

Darlington FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

DAR 6 of 8 (75%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)61.2%

Darlington FC scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level

MERTHYR TOWN GOALS

Merthyr Town Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.18

DAR 7 of 8 (88%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)72.8%

Merthyr Town scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Darlington FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Darlington FC's level · Darlington FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.8%

Darlington FC goals →

Merthyr Town goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

DARLINGTON FCLDWLLLWLLL0.70 PPG

MERTHYR TOWNLLDDWWLDDD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DARLINGTON FC HOMExMERTHYR TOWN AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.202.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE10%4.67CORNERS A GAME6.003.00CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DARLINGTON FC 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.70POINTS A GAME1.30-0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES10

Merthyr Town: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

DARLINGTON FC OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

MERTHYR TOWN OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DARLINGTON FCxMERTHYR TOWN

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

DARLINGTON FC 1 · 50%DRAW 0MERTHYR TOWN 1 · 50%

2025-11-01Darlington FC 1 – 3 Merthyr Town

2026-01-31Darlington FC 3 – 1 Merthyr Town

TRENDS

Darlington FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Merthyr Town have scored in 80% of their games.

Darlington FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Merthyr Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards