Match details. National League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Maccabi Herzliya are 12th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Ironi Modi'in, 1 point clear of Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. A win would take them above Ironi Modi'in. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC are 13th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Maccabi Herzliya, 1 point clear of Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. A win would take them above Maccabi Herzliya.
Form. Maccabi Herzliya have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. In this competition Maccabi Herzliya have gone L L D W D L. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC have gone L L W D L W.
The numbers. Maccabi Herzliya score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Maccabi Herzliya average 9.8 shots (4.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC score one and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC average 10.7 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Maccabi Herzliya have won two, drawn none and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 9 Jan 2018, it finished Maccabi Herzliya 2-1 Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Maccabi Herzliya or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Maccabi Herzliya 1-1 Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).