ASALS

15:45Sat 10 Oct

LUS

Al Shahaniya vs Lusail SC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time. It is played at Ahmed bin Ali Stadium, Lai Yang.

What's at stake. Al Shahaniya are 8th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Al Wakrah, level on points with Al Ahli Doha. A win would take them above Al Wakrah. Lusail SC are 6th on 5 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Al Shamal, level on points with Al Wakrah. A win would take them level on points with Al Shamal.

Form. Al Shahaniya have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. Lusail SC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.

The numbers. Al Shahaniya score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Al Shahaniya average 8.7 shots (4.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Lusail SC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lusail SC average 7.3 shots (2.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Shahaniya have won five, drawn four and lost one. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al Shahaniya won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Dec 2025, it finished Al Shahaniya 1-1 Lusail SC.

Where it pulls both ways. Lusail SC are the form side, but the meetings favour Al Shahaniya: in the last ten meetings, Al Shahaniya won five, Lusail SC won one and four were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Lusail SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Shahaniya or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Shahaniya 1-1 Lusail SC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALS 7 of 8 (88%) · LUS 4 of 5 (80%)94.8%

Al Shahaniya: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Shahaniya: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

ALS 6 of 8 (75%) · LUS 4 of 5 (80%)87.1%

Al Shahaniya: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 6 of 6 · Al Shahaniya: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level

LUSAIL SC GOALS

Lusail SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.28

ALS 3 of 5 (60%) · LUS 6 of 8 (75%)78.1%

Lusail SC scored in 3 of 5 away · Al Shahaniya conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Al Shahaniya: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

ALS 5 of 8 (62%) · LUS 4 of 5 (80%)70.6%

Al Shahaniya: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Al Shahaniya: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALS 7 of 8 (88%) · LUS 3 of 5 (60%)74.9%

Al Shahaniya's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lusail SC's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 77% · Al Shahaniya: only games against sides at Lusail SC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Lusail SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Al Shahaniya or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Al Shahaniya goals →

Lusail SC goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL SHAHANIYALWDWLWLDWL1.40 PPG

LUSAIL SCDWWLLDWDWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL SHAHANIYA HOMExLUSAIL SC AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE50%3.60CORNERS A GAME2.832.70CARDS A GAME2.17

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 85/90

AL SHAHANIYA OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

LUSAIL SC OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

AL SHAHANIYA 5 · 50%DRAW 4LUSAIL SC 1 · 10%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-10-20Al Shahaniya 2 – 0 Lusail SC

2020-12-25Al Shahaniya 2 – 1 Lusail SC

2021-02-15Al Shahaniya 2 – 2 Lusail SC

2021-09-25Al Shahaniya 1 – 0 Lusail SC

2022-02-07Al Shahaniya 0 – 2 Lusail SC

2023-02-10Al Shahaniya 2 – 0 Lusail SC

2023-05-06Al Shahaniya 1 – 1 Lusail SC

2023-10-01Al Shahaniya 1 – 1 Lusail SC

TRENDS

Al Shahaniya have scored in 90% of their games.

Lusail SC have scored in 80% of their games.

Al Shahaniya kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Lusail SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards