Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad.
What's at stake. AL Talaba are 17th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Al Kahrabaa, level on points with Naft Maysan. A win would take them above Al Kahrabaa. Al Shorta SC are 5th on 15 points after 8 games, level on points with Newroz, level on points with Naft. A win would take them above Newroz.
Form. AL Talaba have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. Al Shorta SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. AL Talaba score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AL Talaba average 10.4 shots (4.5 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Al Shorta SC score one and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Shorta SC average 13.8 shots (5.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AL Talaba have won two, drawn two and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AL Talaba won one, one was drawn and Al Shorta SC won two. The last time they met, on 17 Mar 2026, it finished AL Talaba 3-3 Al Shorta SC.
The case against. AL Talaba's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Al Shorta SC to win. A tight game. Al Shorta SC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Al Shorta SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 75% on the records (AL Talaba: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Al Shorta SC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9). Leave: Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AL Talaba 0-1 Al Shorta SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).