AL Naft Maysan vs Erbil SC

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 16:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AL Naft Maysan are 18th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Al Talaba, 2 points clear of Gharraf. A win would take them above Al Talaba. Erbil SC are 3rd on 17 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Al Zawra'a, 2 points clear of Newroz. A win would take them above Al Zawra'a.

Form. AL Naft Maysan have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. Erbil SC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.

The numbers. AL Naft Maysan score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AL Naft Maysan average 9.8 shots (3.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Erbil SC score 1.7 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Erbil SC average 10.3 shots (4.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings AL Naft Maysan have won one, drawn four and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Erbil SC won two. The last time they met, on 27 Mar 2026, it finished AL Naft Maysan 0-0 Erbil SC.

The read. Erbil SC to win. A tight game. Erbil SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Erbil SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 75% on the records (AL Naft Maysan: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Erbil SC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Erbil SC or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Erbil SC Over 0.5 Goals (AL Naft Maysan's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AL Naft Maysan 0-1 Erbil SC (9% chance).