Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow, a neutral ground. The referee is Bartosz Frankowski.
Form. Wieczysta Krakow have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. Wisla Plock have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L.
The numbers. Wieczysta Krakow score 1.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wieczysta Krakow average 13.5 shots (4.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Wisla Plock score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Wisla Plock average 10.5 shots (4.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The case against. Wieczysta Krakow's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. Wisla Plock to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Wisla Plock are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wisla Plock. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.46, 81% on the records (Wieczysta Krakow: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Wisla Plock: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Wieczysta Krakow 0-1 Wisla Plock (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).