Fluminense FC RJ vs Coritiba FC PR

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima.

What's at stake. Fluminense FC RJ are 5th on 48 points after 28 games, level on points with Cruzeiro, 2 points clear of Bahia. A win would take them above Cruzeiro. Coritiba FC PR are 9th on 38 points after 28 games, 3 points behind Santos, 1 point clear of RB Bragantino. A win would take them level on points with Santos.

Team news. Fluminense FC RJ are without Alisson (hip injury), G. Cano (hamstring injury), A. Canobbio (yellow cards), John Kennedy (knee injury), Matheus Reis (knee injury), Nonato (yellow cards). John Kennedy is their top scorer. Coritiba FC PR are without Joao Pedro Chermont (transfer negotiations), Keno (loan agreement), J. Lavega (loan agreement), Lucas Ronier (knee injury), Lucas Taverna (inactive), Pedro Morisco (inactive).

Form. Fluminense FC RJ have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Fluminense FC RJ have gone W L W D W W. Coritiba FC PR have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Coritiba FC PR have gone L D L W W D.

The numbers. Fluminense FC RJ score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fluminense FC RJ average 14.2 shots (6.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Coritiba FC PR score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Coritiba FC PR average 13.6 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fluminense FC RJ have won four, drawn four and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Fluminense FC RJ won two, one was drawn and Coritiba FC PR won one. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Fluminense FC RJ 1-1 Coritiba FC PR: Fluminense FC RJ had 15 shots to 10, 67% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 43%.

The read. No firm call: Fluminense FC RJ are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fluminense FC RJ the likelier winners; Fluminense FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 77% on the records (Fluminense FC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Coritiba FC PR: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Full cover: Coritiba FC PR Under 1.5 Goals at 1.21. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Fluminense FC RJ Over 1.5 goals (Fluminense FC RJ's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fluminense FC RJ 2-1 Coritiba FC PR (10% chance).