Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Freethielstadion, Beveren.
What's at stake. KV Waasland-Beveren are 9th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind KVC Westerlo, level on points with Genk. A win would take them above KVC Westerlo. Lommel SK are 12th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with St. Truiden, 1 point clear of Antwerp. A win would take them above St. Truiden.
Form. KV Waasland-Beveren have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Lommel SK have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. KV Waasland-Beveren score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. KV Waasland-Beveren average 6.7 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Lommel SK score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lommel SK average 10.0 shots (2.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings KV Waasland-Beveren have won four, drawn four and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, KV Waasland-Beveren won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 8 Feb 2026, it finished KV Waasland-Beveren 2-0 Lommel SK: KV Waasland-Beveren had 12 shots to 11, 49% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Lommel SK's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. KV Waasland-Beveren to win. Their goals for and against make KV Waasland-Beveren the likelier winners; KV Waasland-Beveren are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour KV Waasland-Beveren.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: KV Waasland-Beveren Over 0.5 goals (Lommel SK's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: KV Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Lommel SK (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).