ANALN

19:00Fri 9 Oct

DIR

Al Nassr Club vs Diriyah Club

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. The game is at Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh.

Form. Al Nassr Club have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Diriyah Club have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.

The numbers. Al Nassr Club score 2.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 13.3 shots (6.1 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Diriyah Club score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 10.1 shots (3.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The case against. Diriyah Club's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Al Nassr Club to win. Their goals for and against make Al Nassr Club the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Al Nassr Club.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Al Nassr Club 1-0 Diriyah Club (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

ALN 8 of 8 (100%) · DIR 7 of 7 (100%)95.5%

Al Nassr Club: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level · Diriyah Club: only games in Al Nassr Club's division

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.32

ALN 6 of 8 (75%) · DIR 7 of 7 (100%)88.8%

Al Nassr Club: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level · Diriyah Club: only games in Al Nassr Club's division

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

ALN 8 of 8 (100%) · DIR 4 of 7 (57%)71.5%

Al Nassr Club: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level · Diriyah Club: only games in Al Nassr Club's division

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

ALN 8 of 8 (100%) · DIR 4 of 7 (57%)78.6%

Al Nassr Club: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Diriyah Club: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Al Nassr Club: only games against sides at Diriyah Club's level · Diriyah Club: only games in Al Nassr Club's division

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.8%

Al Nassr Club goals →

Diriyah Club goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

AL NASSR CLUBLDWLWWWWWW2.20 PPG

DIRIYAH CLUBDWLWDWLLDW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL NASSR CLUB HOMExDIRIYAH CLUB AWAY

2.29SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7120%CLEAN SHEETS40%8.29CORNERS A GAME5.292.00CARDS A GAME1.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.29POINTS A GAME1.83+1.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.32.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.67LEAGUE GAMES6

Al Nassr Club: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AL NASSR CLUB OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

DIRIYAH CLUB OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL NASSR CLUBxDIRIYAH CLUB

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%100%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.411.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Al Nassr Club have scored in 90% of their games.

Diriyah Club have scored in 70% of their games.

Al Nassr Club kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Diriyah Club kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards