Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente Barcelos
Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães. Referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira will be in charge.
Form. Moreirense FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. Gil Vicente Barcelos have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. Moreirense FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 7.3 shots (3.2 on target), 2.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Gil Vicente Barcelos score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 11.4 shots (4.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Gil Vicente Barcelos are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Moreirense FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Moreirense FC 1-1 Gil Vicente Barcelos (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).