Al-Fateh SC vs Al Ahli Saudi FC
Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 15:55 Lagos time. It is played at Maydan Tamweel Al-Oula, Al-Hasa, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Al-Fateh SC are 15th on 3 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Al Shabab, level on points with Al-Faisaly FC. A win would take them above Al Shabab. Al Ahli Saudi FC are 6th on 12 points after 7 games, 3 points behind NEOM, level on points with Al Kholood. A win would take them level on points with NEOM.
Form. Al-Fateh SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. Al Ahli Saudi FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. Al-Fateh SC score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and six games without a goal. Al-Fateh SC average 9.9 shots (4.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Al Ahli Saudi FC score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Al Ahli Saudi FC average 13.9 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Fateh SC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Al-Fateh SC won two and Al Ahli Saudi FC won two. The last time they met, on 6 May 2026, it finished Al-Fateh SC 1-3 Al Ahli Saudi FC: Al-Fateh SC had 12 shots to 20, 44% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Al-Fateh SC Under 1.5 goals (Al Ahli Saudi FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Al-Fateh SC 1-1 Al Ahli Saudi FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).