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EGYPT - PREMIER LEAGUE
Zamalek SC crestZSZAM
18:00Sun 11 Oct
ALAAL Ahly SC (EGY) crestAA

Zamalek SC vs AL Ahly SC (EGY)

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Cairo International Stadium.

What's at stake. Zamalek SC are 2nd on 13 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Pyramids FC, level on points with Al Ahly. A win would take them above Pyramids FC. AL Ahly SC (EGY) are 3rd on 13 points after 5 games, level on points with Zamalek SC, 1 point clear of Ceramica Cleopatra. A win would take them above Zamalek SC.

Form. Zamalek SC have won four, drawn one and lost none of their last five, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. AL Ahly SC (EGY) have won four, drawn one and lost none of their last five, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.

The numbers. Zamalek SC score 1.6 and concede 0.2 a game over their last five, with four clean sheets. Zamalek SC average 10.8 shots (4.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. AL Ahly SC (EGY) score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. AL Ahly SC (EGY) average 16.8 shots (6.2 on target), 7.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Zamalek SC have won two, drawn one and lost four. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Zamalek SC won one and AL Ahly SC (EGY) won three. The last time they met, on 1 May 2026, it finished Zamalek SC 0-3 AL Ahly SC (EGY): Zamalek SC had 13 shots to 16, 56% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Zamalek SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AL Ahly SC (EGY) or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Zamalek SC 1-1 AL Ahly SC (EGY) (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALA 4 of 5 (80%)86.8%
Zamalek SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Ahly SC (EGY): under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Zamalek SC: only games against sides at AL Ahly SC (EGY)'s level · AL Ahly SC (EGY): only games against sides at Zamalek SC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.27
ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALA 4 of 5 (80%)72.1%
Zamalek SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Ahly SC (EGY): under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Zamalek SC: only games against sides at AL Ahly SC (EGY)'s level · AL Ahly SC (EGY): only games against sides at Zamalek SC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.26
ZAM 4 of 5 (80%) · ALA 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%
Zamalek SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Ahly SC (EGY): the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5 · on half-time scores · Zamalek SC: only games against sides at AL Ahly SC (EGY)'s level · AL Ahly SC (EGY): only games against sides at Zamalek SC's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALA 4 of 5 (80%)87.5%
Zamalek SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Ahly SC (EGY): the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · Zamalek SC: only games against sides at AL Ahly SC (EGY)'s level · AL Ahly SC (EGY): only games against sides at Zamalek SC's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALA 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Zamalek SC's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Ahly SC (EGY)'s games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Zamalek SC: only games against sides at AL Ahly SC (EGY)'s level · AL Ahly SC (EGY): only games against sides at Zamalek SC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Zamalek SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AL Ahly SC (EGY) or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (63%) and the records (90%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Zamalek SC goals →
AL Ahly SC (EGY) goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41.0%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5
ZAMALEK SCDWWWW2.60 PPG
AL AHLY SC (EGY)WWWDW2.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ZAMALEK SC HOMExAL AHLY SC (EGY) AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.800.20CONCEDED A GAME0.6080%CLEAN SHEETS60%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%2.80CORNERS A GAME7.201.80CARDS A GAME1.400.89xG1.451.49xG AGAINST0.76
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
ZAMALEK SC 2 · 29%DRAW 1AL AHLY SC (EGY) 4 · 57%
3 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-03-08Zamalek SC 0 – 2 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
2024-04-15Zamalek SC 2 – 1 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
2025-02-22Zamalek SC 1 – 1 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
2025-03-11Zamalek SC 3 – 0 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
2025-09-29Zamalek SC 1 – 2 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
2025-11-09Zamalek SC 0 – 2 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
2026-05-01Zamalek SC 0 – 3 AL Ahly SC (EGY)
TRENDS
Zamalek SC have scored in 80% of their games.
AL Ahly SC (EGY) have scored in 90% of their games.
Zamalek SC failed to score in 20% of their games.
AL Ahly SC (EGY) failed to score in 0% of their games.
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