Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Ebro are 4th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Olot, 1 point clear of Espanyol II. A win would take them above Olot. CF Calamocha are 15th on 3 points after 5 games, 2 points behind UD Logroñés II, 1 point clear of SD Logroñés. A win would take them above UD Logroñés II.
Form. CD Ebro have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. CF Calamocha have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. CD Ebro score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Ebro average 9.5 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. CF Calamocha score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. CF Calamocha average 2.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings CD Ebro have won two, drawn one and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2025, it finished CD Ebro 2-1 CF Calamocha.
The case against. CF Calamocha's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. CD Ebro to win. Their goals for and against make CD Ebro the likelier winners; CD Ebro are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Ebro.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Ebro 1-0 CF Calamocha (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).