TJTAR

17:30Fri 9 Oct

FCE

Tartu JK Welco vs FC Elva

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Esiliiga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu.

What's at stake. Tartu JK Welco are 1st on 62 points after 30 games, 12 points clear of Viimsi. FC Elva are 4th on 48 points after 30 games, level on points with Flora II, 7 points clear of FCI Levadia II. A win would take them above Flora II. FC Elva have nothing left to play for.

Form. Tartu JK Welco have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition Tartu JK Welco have gone W W D D L W. FC Elva have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition FC Elva have gone D W L W W D.

The numbers. Tartu JK Welco score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Tartu JK Welco average 5.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FC Elva score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Elva average 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Tartu JK Welco have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Tartu JK Welco won two, one was drawn and FC Elva won one. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Tartu JK Welco 1-2 FC Elva.

The case against. FC Elva's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. Tartu JK Welco to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tartu JK Welco the likelier winners; Tartu JK Welco are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner, no Unders); Tartu JK Welco or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Tartu JK Welco 2-1 FC Elva (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tartu JK Welco or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 9 of 10 (90%) · FCE 4 of 5 (80%)88%

Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level

Tartu JK Welco or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 9 of 10 (90%) · FCE 4 of 5 (80%)88%

Tartu JK Welco or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 8 of 10 (80%) · FCE 4 of 5 (80%)83.6%

Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level

Tartu JK Welco or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.16

TAR 4 of 5 (80%) · FCE 6 of 8 (75%)70.2%

Tartu JK Welco scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva trailed or failed to win in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues)

Tartu JK Welco 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

TAR 3 of 5 (60%) · FCE 5 of 8 (62%)55.6%

Tartu JK Welco scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva trailed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 9 of 10 (90%) · FCE 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Tartu JK Welco: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

TAR 7 of 10 (70%) · FCE 2 of 5 (40%)54.3%

Tartu JK Welco: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level

TARTU JK WELCO GOALS

Tartu JK Welco Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 9 of 10 (90%) · FCE 4 of 5 (80%)88%

Tartu JK Welco scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level

FC ELVA GOALS

FC Elva Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 3 of 5 (60%) · FCE 7 of 10 (70%)61.9%

FC Elva scored in 3 of 5 away · Tartu JK Welco conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAR 9 of 10 (90%) · FCE 4 of 5 (80%)86.3%

Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Elva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Elva's level · FC Elva: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner - no Unders); Tartu JK Welco or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner - no Unders); Tartu JK Welco to Win (the numbers (53%) and the records (44%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Tartu JK Welco goals →

FC Elva goals ↓

0-05%

1-08%

2-08%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.9%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.7%

5-30.3%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

TARTU JK WELCOLLWWWLDDWW1.70 PPG

FC ELVADWLWDWWLWD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TARTU JK WELCO HOMExFC ELVA AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.001.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1040%CLEAN SHEETS50%13%FAILED TO SCORE23%5.53CORNERS A GAME4.831.63CARDS A GAME2.40

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

TARTU JK WELCO TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

TARTU JK WELCO OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.14POINTS A GAME2.17+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES6

FC Elva: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

TARTU JK WELCOxFC ELVA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

TARTU JK WELCO 4 · 40%DRAW 3FC ELVA 3 · 30%

6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-06-02Tartu JK Welco 0 – 0 FC Elva

2024-08-24Tartu JK Welco 0 – 0 FC Elva

2024-09-28Tartu JK Welco 1 – 0 FC Elva

2025-03-15Tartu JK Welco 1 – 3 FC Elva

2025-06-14Tartu JK Welco 2 – 5 FC Elva

2025-08-04Tartu JK Welco 2 – 1 FC Elva

2025-10-27Tartu JK Welco 3 – 2 FC Elva

2026-04-27Tartu JK Welco 3 – 3 FC Elva

TRENDS

Tartu JK Welco have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Elva have scored in 70% of their games.

Tartu JK Welco kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

FC Elva kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards