Match details. 2. Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Tabor Sezana are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Triglav. NK Rudar Velenje are 6th on 15 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Slovan Ljubljana, level on points with Bilje. A win would take them above Slovan Ljubljana.
Form. Tabor Sezana have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. NK Rudar Velenje have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.
The numbers. Tabor Sezana score two and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Tabor Sezana average 12.4 shots (4.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. NK Rudar Velenje score 1.2 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Rudar Velenje average 12.5 shots (5.2 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Tabor Sezana have won four, drawn four and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Tabor Sezana won two, one was drawn and NK Rudar Velenje won one. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Tabor Sezana 2-0 NK Rudar Velenje.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. NK Rudar Velenje's record still gives them 21% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Tabor Sezana to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Tabor Sezana the likelier winners; Tabor Sezana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tabor Sezana. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Tabor Sezana or Draw at 1.15, 72% on the records (Tabor Sezana unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; NK Rudar Velenje failed to win 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tabor Sezana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tabor Sezana Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Tabor Sezana 1-0 NK Rudar Velenje (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).