SASDA

17:00Sat 10 Oct

CLU

SD Amorebieta vs Club Portugalete

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 6. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano.

What's at stake. SD Amorebieta are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Basconia, level on points with Portugalete. A win would take them above Basconia. Club Portugalete are 9th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Amorebieta, level on points with Real Oviedo II. A win would take them above Amorebieta.

Form. SD Amorebieta have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. Club Portugalete have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.

The numbers. SD Amorebieta score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. SD Amorebieta average 9.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Club Portugalete score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Club Portugalete average 11.7 shots (2.7 on target), 6.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings SD Amorebieta have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 23 Jan 2021, it finished SD Amorebieta 2-1 Club Portugalete.

The case against. Club Portugalete's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. SD Amorebieta to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SD Amorebieta the likelier winners; SD Amorebieta are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SD Amorebieta 1-0 Club Portugalete (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDA 9 of 10 (90%) · CLU 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

SD Amorebieta: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDA 9 of 10 (90%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)88.6%

SD Amorebieta: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDA 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 6 of 7 (86%)72.9%

SD Amorebieta's games: over 8.5 corners in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDA 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%

SD Amorebieta's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.9%

SD Amorebieta goals →

Club Portugalete goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SD AMOREBIETAWLDDWDLWLW1.50 PPG

CLUB PORTUGALETELWDLWWDWLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SD AMOREBIETA HOMExCLUB PORTUGALETE AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.401.10CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS20%40%FAILED TO SCORE40%3.20CORNERS A GAME6.433.20CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME1.40+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SD AMOREBIETA OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

CLUB PORTUGALETE OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SD AMOREBIETAxCLUB PORTUGALETE

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

SD AMOREBIETA 1 · 50%DRAW 1CLUB PORTUGALETE 0 · 0%

2020-10-25SD Amorebieta 0 – 0 Club Portugalete

2021-01-23SD Amorebieta 2 – 1 Club Portugalete

TRENDS

SD Amorebieta have scored in 80% of their games.

Club Portugalete have scored in 80% of their games.

SD Amorebieta kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Club Portugalete kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards