Match details. Liga 2. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Sport Huancayo Reserve have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Club Ada Jaen have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. Sport Huancayo Reserve score 2.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Sport Huancayo Reserve average 15.5 shots (4.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Club Ada Jaen score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Ada Jaen average 5.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Club Ada Jaen's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Sport Huancayo Reserve to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sport Huancayo Reserve the likelier winners; Sport Huancayo Reserve are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 79% on the records (Sport Huancayo Reserve: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Club Ada Jaen: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Leave: Club Ada Jaen or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Sport Huancayo Reserve); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sport Huancayo Reserve 1-0 Club Ada Jaen (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).